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What Warren Buffett Can Teach You About Appraisal

Every few years the housing market rewrites the rules, and buyers who learned the last set of rules show up unprepared for the new ones. Right now, the rules have changed more than they have at any point in a generation. The buyers who understand that are finding deals. The ones who do not are making expensive mistakes.

Home prices at the national level have held close to their peaks despite a sharp rise in mortgage rates. The reason is supply. The locked-in effect has kept available inventory at historically low levels in most markets, which means the correction that many analysts were expecting simply did not materialize the way the data suggested it should.

Affordability, by the standard measure of what share of median household income goes toward the monthly payment on a median-priced home, is near its worst level since the early 1980s. That is a real problem, and it is not going away quickly. That measure being at a historical extreme does not automatically produce a correction. What it means, practically, is that fewer people can compete for each property.

Shop more than one institution, because the spread in rates and costs is real. A seemingly small rate difference adds up to real money that most buyers leave on the table by taking the first offer they receive. Lender fees vary too. Do not compare rate quotes without also comparing origination fees, points, and closing costs.

If the report surfaces findings that change the financial picture of the deal, you have three options, not one, and walking away is a legitimate one of them. You can walk away if the scope of the problems makes the agreed price no longer reasonable. Signing off on a failing roof or a bad HVAC system is not the same house you made an offer on.

Negotiation works best when it is quiet and well-prepared. Before you make an offer, find out how long the listing has been active. A listing that has been sitting for six weeks with no price adjustment is a fundamentally different negotiation than one that just hit the market at an aggressive price.

For buyers with a real reason to be in a specific place for the foreseeable future, this market is workable, even if it is not cheap or easy. The homes that are priced correctly for current conditions are still moving. They are going to the people who did the homework before they started looking at listings.

Real estate rewards preparation more than it rewards timing. Waiting for a better market is a reasonable position only if your personal situation supports it, otherwise you are just paying rent while prices hold. A look at real estate listings and pricing data in your target area costs nothing and tells you a great deal.